De semèn ki sot pase yo te relativman kalm kòm Bitcoin te fè kòmès nan $ 16,000 a $ 17,500. Li te parèt ke efè kontajyon ki soti nan efondreman FTX la te tou dousman kòmanse fennen, sepandan nan kèk jou ki sot pase yo gen plis enfòmasyon sifas ki antoure Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) ak fayit potansyèl li yo.
On Wednesday GBTC closed down -7.42%, giving prospective buyers a record 43% discount on Bitcoin. Many are hypothesising that a large institutional investor is dumping shares of the ETF in order to patch a hole in their balance sheet and maintain solvency. After all, it has since been revealed that many institutional players, such as Grayscale’s parent company (Digital Currency Group), had significant exposure to FTX and its associated companies. You would assume that investors would flock to buy at these discounted levels, however Grayscale is currently being sued by hedge fund Fir Tree in order to investigate potential mismanagement and conflicts of interest. It’s likely that many investors will wait for the outcome of this litigation before making a definitive decision.
Nan lòt nouvèl, Jerome Powell, prezidan Rezèv Federal la (Fed), te bay yon diskou sou 30th nan Novanm kote li te detaye ke yon ogmantasyon pousantaj 50 bps t ap vini. Enteresan, sa imedyatman te lakòz yon vag nan byen risk ak aksyon, opoze a nan sa ki teyori macroéconomiques ta predi. Sa a gen anpil chans akòz mache yo reyaji nan pwobabilite ki pi wo nan yon "poz" (yon peryòd kote yon bank santral kenbe pousantaj konstan pou evalye si ak ki jan politik li yo ap travay) ki baze sou Powell ki endike ke ogmantasyon pousantaj nan lavni ta ka mwens enpòtan. Sepandan, li parèt ke mache a te reyaji twòp ak nouvèl sa a kòm pwogrè nan aksyon apre diskou a te siye depi S & P500 la te korije nan nivo yo li te nan anvan diskou a.
Soti nan yon pèspektiv teknik, lous yo pral espere pou yon ti repo pi ba pase nivo sipò $ 15,500 ki ta gen anpil chans pote nouvo ba mache yo pa wè depi 2020. Sipò sa a te kenbe depi dènye aktyalizasyon mache nou an, sepandan li poko teste ankò. Anplis de sa, depi dènye aktyalizasyon nou an kote MACD a okòmansman travèse liy siyal li yo, momantòm a kout tèm anlè te jwe epi istogram la te rete optimis. Yon lòt pwen enpòtan pou sonje se ke Money Flow Index (MFI) te tandans anlè depi li te rebondi nan nivo oversold nan kòmansman mwa novanm. Si tandans sa a kontinye jwe ak osilateur a deplase nan direksyon 80, komèsan yo ka gade pou sòti nan pozisyon long epi kòmanse chèche antre kout.
The two key events to watch in the coming weeks are the December 13th announcement on U.S CPI inflation and the Federal Reserve’s December 14th announcement on rates. If inflation comes in soft, it’s likely that risk assets and equities markets will see at least a short term increase in bullish momentum. Inflation figures will likely dictate the Fed’s decision on rates the following day and will determine if they stick to the 50 bps hike that Powell hinted at. These two events will have a major bearing on short run market direction. However, if GBTC continues to capitulate and the fund does indeed unwind, the short term future will be bleak for crypto.
Tcheke tablo a sou TradingView isit la.